AN EMPIRICAL COMPARISON OF MACHINE LEARNING MODELS FOR TIME SERIES FORECASTING

ICTACT Journal on Data Science and Machine Learning ( Volume: 6 , Issue: 4 )

Abstract

Time series data analysis and forecasting stands as a critical information source, shaping future decision-making, strategy formulation, and operational planning across diverse industries. Ranging from marketing and finance to education, healthcare, and robotics, the time series data has become pivotal in guiding effective actions. Time series data analysis plays a pivotal role in understanding sequential trends and patterns present in the data. The Time series forecasting has been used for prediction for effective decision making. The forecasting techniques consist of statistical models and machine learning models. This paper examines different methods, including AR, MA, ARMA, ARIMA, SARIMA, ARIMAX, SARIMAX, Prophet and LSTM. Two meteorological datasets have been analyzed and the above models have been applied and evaluated using various performance metrics.

Authors

Simranjeet Kaur, Jayshree Kundargi
Somaiya Vidyavihar University, K.J. Somaiya College of Engineering, India

Keywords

Time Series Analysis, Forecasting, Statistical Models, Prophet, LSTM

Published By
ICTACT
Published In
ICTACT Journal on Data Science and Machine Learning
( Volume: 6 , Issue: 4 )
Date of Publication
September 2025
Pages
857 - 862
Page Views
705
Full Text Views
15